MQ 3877 · AUS → DFW

departs 6:55 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM CT

Your aircraft is N791DK (E170), coming in as MQ 3877 from DFW: landed 6:13 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3877 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?