MQ 4005 · MSN → ORD

departs 8:42 PM CT · arrives 9:42 PM CT

Your aircraft is N270NN (E170), coming in as MQ 4005 from ORD: landed 8:16 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ORD (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4005 · MSN → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?