MQ 4024 · DFW → CLL

took off 10:04 AM CT · landed 10:40 AM CT (scheduled 9:10 AM CT → 10:11 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4024 · DFW → CLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLL?