OH 5141 · PHL → LEX

departs 1:33 PM ET · arrives 3:30 PM ET

Your aircraft is N600NN (CRJ9).

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ LEX usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LEX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5141 · PHL → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?