OH 5187 · IAH → DFW

departs 10:34 AM CT · arrives 11:56 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5187 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?