OH 5253 · DFW → CAE

departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 1:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAE?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CAE that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CAE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5253 · DFW → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?