OO 4988 · ORD → SAF

took off 10:30 AM CT · expected to land 11:52 AM MT (scheduled 10:18 AM CT → 12:20 PM MT)

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAF?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAF (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4988 · ORD → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?