PT 5936 · MDT → PHL

departs 9:34 AM ET · arrives 10:34 AM ET

Your aircraft is N672AE (E145), coming in as PT 5936 from PHL: landed 8:35 AM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip1.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5936 · MDT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?