PT 5953 · BDL → PHL

departs 9:47 AM ET · arrives 11:11 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↓ 9am departures from BDL are usually not late

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.37 in

PHL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5953 · BDL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?