QX 2124 · BOI → SEA

departs 8:56 PM MT · arrives 9:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

↓ BOI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2124 · BOI → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?