QX 2218 · RNO → SEA

took off 9:50 AM PT · landed 11:41 AM PT (scheduled 9:08 AM PT → 11:13 AM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at SEA that day

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ RNO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2218 · RNO → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?