RV 1771 · PHX → YVR

took off 1:20 PM MT · landed 4:15 PM MST (scheduled 1:05 PM MT → 4:32 PM MST)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YVR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ YVR usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1771 · PHX → YVR

Odds over time

How late did it get to YVR?