Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 425 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, November 6 Today

TA 425 · IAH → SAL

departs 5:49 PM CT · arrives 8:24 PM CST

Your aircraft is N788AV (A20N), coming in as TA 424 from SAL: landed 3:05 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ TA's recent on-time record

↓ SAL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 425 · IAH → SAL

Odds over time