UA 1008 · LGA → ORD

left the gate 7:18 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled 7:19 AM ET → 8:48 AM CT)

Your aircraft is N17349 (B38M), coming in as UA 2168 from DEN: landed 9:15 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.13 in

ORD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1008 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?