VB 622 · MTY → LAX

departs 8:33 PM CST · arrives 9:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 622 · MTY → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?