WN 1014 · LAS → DAL

departs 3:47 PM PT · arrives 8:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1014 · LAS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?