WN 1377 · MCI → RSW

took off 3:48 PM CT · expected to land 7:08 PM ET (scheduled 3:31 PM CT → 7:22 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RSW?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1377 · MCI → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?