WN 1481 · BUF → MDW

departs 7:06 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM CT

Your aircraft is N555LV (B737), coming in as WN 1481 from MCO: in the air, landing about 6:43 PM ET, 19 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
45%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1481 · BUF → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?