WN 1655 · BUF → TPA

departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 3:33 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8933Q (B38M), coming in as WN 1655 from BWI: still at BWI, due off about 11:09 AM ET, 39 min before departure.

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from BUF are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

TPA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1655 · BUF → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?