WN 1872 · DTW → BWI

took off 5:15 AM ET · landed 6:24 AM ET (scheduled 4:56 AM ET → 6:37 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,067 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1872 · DTW → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?