WN 1973 · BNA → JAN

took off 7:34 PM CT · landed 8:27 PM CT (scheduled 6:17 PM CT → 7:45 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JAN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1973 · BNA → JAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAN?