WN 2150 · SEA → DEN

took off 9:24 AM PT · expected to land 12:24 PM MT (scheduled 9:09 AM PT → 12:49 PM MT)

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

DEN (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2150 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?