WN 2462 · EUG → DEN

departs 2:21 PM PT · arrives 5:55 PM MT

Your aircraft is N954WN (B737), coming in as WN 143 from SAN: in the air, landing about 2:20 PM PT, 4 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +63 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
75%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from EUG are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2462 · EUG → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?