Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2594
SCHEDULED
Friday, November 6 Today
WN 2594 · MCO → BHM
departs 7:33 PM ET · arrives 8:18 PM CT
Your aircraft is N8969S (B38M), coming in as WN 1747 from PHL: in the air, landing about 8:01 PM ET, 38 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/8 37%
Mon 11/9 43%
Thu 11/12 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+35 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
85%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 98 min after the scheduled departure, about 81 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 86%.
+35 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 98 min after the scheduled departure, about 81 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 78%.
+36 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 98 min after the scheduled departure, about 81 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 28%.
+15 pts
85%
Yes 85%
No 15%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
59%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.