WN 2743 · MCO → BNA

departs 8:01 PM ET · arrives 9:05 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8673F (B738), coming in as WN 2239 from ISP: in the air, landing about 7:43 PM ET, 8 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
58%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

BNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2743 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?