Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3095
SCHEDULED
Friday, November 6 Today
WN 3095 · AUS → TPA
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 9:46 PM ET
Your aircraft is N8816Q (B38M), coming in as WN 3861 from SJC: in the air, landing about 6:50 PM CT, 45 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 11/7 52%
Sun 11/8 54%
Mon 11/9 42%
Tue 11/10 30%
Wed 11/11 34%
Thu 11/12 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+58 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
90%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 100 min after the scheduled departure, about 86 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+58 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 100 min after the scheduled departure, about 86 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 100%.
+46 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 100 min after the scheduled departure, about 86 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 90%.
+77 pts
90%
Yes 90%
No 10%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
71%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 8,367 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.