WN 3183 · MSY → TPA

departs 11:22 AM CT · arrives 2:13 PM ET

Your aircraft is N299WN (B737), coming in as WN 2261 from FLL: in the air, landing about 11:29 AM CT, 12 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +79 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
1%
15–30 min late
86%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3183 · MSY → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?