WN 333 · BNA → MDW

took off 12:58 PM CT · expected to land 2:10 PM CT (scheduled 11:35 AM CT → 1:21 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
73%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from BNA are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 333 · BNA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?