WN 3439 · KOA → OGG

took off 2:30 PM HT · landed 2:44 PM HT (scheduled 1:31 PM HT → 2:25 PM HT)

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OGG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ KOA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3439 · KOA → OGG

Odds over time

How late did it get to OGG?