WN 3535 · MDW → LAS

departs 11:07 AM CT · arrives 12:58 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8804L (B38M).

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3535 · MDW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?