WN 3715 · DAL → SAN

departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling10,873 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3715 · DAL → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?