WN 4063 · SNA → AUS

took off 9:35 AM PT · landed 1:58 PM CT (scheduled 9:13 AM PT → 2:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4063 · SNA → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?