WN 427 · LGA → HOU

departs 8:29 AM ET · arrives 11:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.13 in

HOU (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 427 · LGA → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?