WN 4289 · TUL → DAL

took off 11:22 AM CT · expected to land 11:58 AM CT (scheduled 11:06 AM CT → 12:19 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4289 · TUL → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?