WN 4672 · SAN → BOS

departs 9:23 AM PT · arrives 5:46 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8765Q (B38M), coming in as WN 4545 from DEN: in the air, landing about 8:19 AM PT, 60 min before departure.

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
33%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.9 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,468 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4672 · SAN → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?