WN 4899 · HOU → LGA

took off 10:46 AM CT · landed 3:17 PM ET (scheduled 10:23 AM CT → 2:54 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4899 · HOU → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?