WN 581 · DEN → BNA

departs 7:56 AM MT · arrives 11:29 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9.88679 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 581 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?