Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4357
SCHEDULED
Friday, November 6 Today
YX 4357 · JFK → BOS
departs 8:06 AM ET · arrives 9:23 AM ET
Your aircraft is N107HQ (E75S), coming in as YX 4396 from DCA: still at DCA, due off about 8:01 AM ET, 55 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/8 13%
Mon 11/9 10%
Tue 11/10 9%
Wed 11/11 14%
Thu 11/12 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
82%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 104 min after the scheduled departure, about 78 min late from the gate after a typical 26-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 37%.
−1 pt
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 104 min after the scheduled departure, about 78 min late from the gate after a typical 26-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 21%.
−1 pt
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 104 min after the scheduled departure, about 78 min late from the gate after a typical 26-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 12%.
+4 pts
82%
Yes 82%
No 18%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 2.2 in of rain forecast at JFK that day
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.9 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
8am departures from JFK are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 2.21 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 367 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.92 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.