Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4391 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:58 PM ET, ETA 8:38 PM ET)
Today

YX 4391 · LGA → IND

took off 6:58 PM ET · expected to land 8:38 PM ET (scheduled 5:33 PM ET → 7:54 PM ET)
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IND?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    <1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    81%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.