Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4501 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:58 PM ET (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4501 · JFK → RDU

departs 5:25 PM ET · arrives 7:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
81% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    18%
  2. 15–30 min late
    34%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    32%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.