YX 4572 · PIT → RDU

took off 8:10 AM ET · expected to land 9:07 AM ET (scheduled 8:01 AM ET → 9:39 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 2.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip2.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4572 · PIT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?