Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5222 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

9E 5222 · RDU → EWR

departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 6:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5222 · RDU → EWR

Odds over time