Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 5050 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

9K 5050 · BOS → MVY

departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 3:27 PM ET

Your aircraft is P212 (P212), coming in as 9K 5050 from MVY: still at MVY, due off about 1:40 PM ET, 42 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MVY that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ 2pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ MVY usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.05 in

MVY (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 5050 · BOS → MVY

Odds over time