Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 615 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

9K 615 · ACK → HYA

departs 7:09 PM ET · arrives 7:20 PM ET

Your aircraft is C402 (C402), coming in as 9K 615 from BOS: still at BOS, due off about 5:56 PM ET, 25 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at HYA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HYA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ACK that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into HYA at that hour are usually not late

↓ HYA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ACK (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.24 in

HYA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 615 · ACK → HYA

Odds over time