Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 615 LANDED 2:48 PM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

9K 615 · HYA → ACK

took off 2:28 PM ET · landed 2:48 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ACK more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ HYA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

HYA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ACK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 615 · HYA → ACK

Odds over time