Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 85 TAXIING (LEFT THE GATE 8:26 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

9K 85 · BOS → PVC

left the gate 8:26 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PVC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at BOS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PVC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into PVC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.02 in

PVC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 85 · BOS → PVC

Odds over time