AA 1393 · BJX → DFW

took off · landed 2:53 PM CT (scheduled 11:51 AM CST → 2:26 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BJX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

BJX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1393 · BJX → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?