AA 1968 · ORD → TUS

took off 11:54 AM CT · expected to land 1:57 PM MT (scheduled 11:37 AM CT → 2:26 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1968 · ORD → TUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUS?