AA 2530 · DFW → LAS

departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±18 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2530 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?