AA 544 · DFW → LAS

departs 9:39 AM CT · arrives 10:35 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 544 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?